Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.109 to 12.66.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.66 (+0.109)
- In: 12.55
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 222
- In: 228
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.32 | 10.85 | +0.528 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.18 | 11.19 | +0.002 | 4 |
| National Security | 7.82 | 7.84 | +0.021 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.09 | 16.18 | +0.089 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.61 | 12.75 | +0.139 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.29 | 15.29 | −0.002 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 12.28 | 12.34 | +0.064 | 9 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.23 | 13.23 | −0.001 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.11 | 14.25 | +0.140 | 4 → 2 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 389, plus 228 carried in. Maintenance 296. Spent 99 on actions (buy 59, partner 39). 222 carried over.
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation20 credits for 1.55 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
- PartnerSpace Technologies20 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication20 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies20 credits for 1.49 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies20 credits for 1.51 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.62 | +1.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +1.51 | +1.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Energy Technologies | +1.49 | +1.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.83 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.76 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.56 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |