Round 2046
Round 20 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index +0.094 to 12.79.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.79 (+0.095)
- In: 12.70
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 112
- In: 129
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 11.45 | 11.68 | +0.229 | 4 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.17 | 11.21 | +0.039 | 4 |
| National Security | 8.02 | 8.21 | +0.200 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.32 | 16.33 | +0.007 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.39 | 13.48 | +0.099 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.14 | 15.15 | +0.012 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 11.53 | 11.66 | +0.126 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.25 | 13.19 | −0.056 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.03 | 14.22 | +0.193 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 397, plus 129 carried in. Maintenance 320. Spent 94 on actions (buy 94). 112 carried over.
- BuyAir Power19 credits for 1.43 levelsmctsahead of Air Power by 0 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance19 credits for 1.38 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power19 credits for 1.36 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.29 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 1.32 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −27.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power | +1.25 | +1.36 | 0.00 | −0.12 | +0.01 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.22 | +1.32 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +1.21 | +1.38 | 0.00 | −0.13 | −0.03 |
| Energy Technologies | +1.19 | +1.29 | 0.00 | −0.10 | 0.00 |
| Air Power | +0.85 | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.03 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.67 | +0.73 | 0.00 | −0.08 | +0.02 |