Round 2045
Round 19 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Automated discovery step, and the index +0.204 to 12.70.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.70 (+0.204)
- In: 12.49
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 136
- In: 168
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 11.22 | 11.45 | +0.229 | 5 → 4 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.06 | 11.17 | +0.110 | 4 |
| National Security | 7.89 | 8.02 | +0.120 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.17 | 16.32 | +0.152 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.10 | 13.39 | +0.282 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.04 | 15.14 | +0.106 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 11.53 | 11.53 | +0.006 | 10 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.79 | 13.25 | +0.454 | 5 → 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.65 | 14.03 | +0.376 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 376, plus 168 carried in. Maintenance 308. Spent 100 on actions (build 20, buy 40, partner 40). 136 carried over.
- BuildExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.09 levelsmctsahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection20 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics20 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity20 credits for 0.94 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Automated discovery step S17. +21.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.59 | +1.48 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.02 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.04 | +0.94 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.83 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.80 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.79 | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.10 | −0.04 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.68 | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.01 |