Round 7 · simulation 23 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.190 to 11.97.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.97 (+0.190)
In: 11.78
Rank by index
29
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
227
In: 171
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.858.18+0.3316 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure10.4810.67+0.1905
National Security6.786.84+0.0646
Human Capital15.4815.68+0.2031
Information & Influence10.6611.04+0.3746
Governance & Integrity15.2415.35+0.1064 → 3
Financial Strength13.4413.51+0.0658 → 7
Production & Innovation13.1613.26+0.0995
Trade & Investment12.9013.18+0.2796

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 403, plus 171 carried in. Maintenance 248. Spent 99 on actions (build 20, buy 40, partner 40). 227 carried over.

  • BuildAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 0.86 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy20 credits for 1.80 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure20 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection20 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies20 credits for 1.86 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +5.1 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.90+1.860.00+0.040.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.99+0.810.00+0.17+0.01
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.94+0.900.00+0.040.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.82+0.660.00+0.08+0.09
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.80+0.710.00+0.04+0.05
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.80+0.630.00+0.170.00