Round 8 · simulation 23 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.145 to 12.11.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.11 (+0.145)
In: 11.97
Rank by index
28
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
254
In: 216
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.188.42+0.2445
Strategic Infrastructure10.6710.81+0.1495
National Security6.846.88+0.0406
Human Capital15.6815.75+0.0681
Information & Influence11.0411.72+0.6806
Governance & Integrity15.3515.35+0.0013
Financial Strength13.5113.51+0.0077
Production & Innovation13.2613.25−0.0055
Trade & Investment13.1813.30+0.1226

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 397, plus 216 carried in. Maintenance 258. Spent 101 on actions (buy 60, partner 40). 254 carried over.

  • PartnerSemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 0.88 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 1 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 2.08 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance20 credits for 1.75 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies20 credits for 1.88 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure20 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.88+1.880.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.78+1.750.000.00+0.04
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.35+1.330.000.00+0.03
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+1.34+1.290.000.00+0.05
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.90+0.900.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.82+0.810.000.00+0.01