Round 9 · simulation 23 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-score-sum

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.110 to 12.22.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.22 (+0.110)
In: 12.11
Rank by index
27
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
278
In: 242
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.428.72+0.3005
Strategic Infrastructure10.8110.90+0.0825
National Security6.886.91+0.0296
Human Capital15.7515.79+0.0351
Information & Influence11.7212.11+0.3936 → 4
Governance & Integrity15.3515.35−0.0023
Financial Strength13.5113.54+0.0307
Production & Innovation13.2513.25+0.0015
Trade & Investment13.3013.42+0.1206

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 400, plus 242 carried in. Maintenance 264. Spent 99 on actions (build 20, buy 20, partner 60). 278 carried over.

  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.54 levelsmctsahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 0 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 1.88 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing20 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies20 credits for 1.24 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 6 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+2.31+2.270.000.00+0.04
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.81+1.810.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.81+0.810.000.000.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.66+0.640.000.00+0.03
Space Technologies+0.63+0.620.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.44+0.440.000.000.00