Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.116 to 12.34.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.34 (+0.117)
- In: 12.22
- Rank by index
- 26
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 296
- In: 264
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.72 | 9.16 | +0.440 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.90 | 10.92 | +0.019 | 5 |
| National Security | 6.91 | 6.95 | +0.040 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.79 | 15.85 | +0.063 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.11 | 12.28 | +0.171 | 4 → 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.35 | 15.35 | 0.000 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.54 | 13.58 | +0.036 | 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.25 | 13.41 | +0.153 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.42 | 13.54 | +0.125 | 6 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 402, plus 264 carried in. Maintenance 270. Spent 100 on actions (build 40, buy 60). 296 carried over.
- BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing20 credits for 0.60 levelsmctsahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity20 credits for 1.04 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies20 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +1.78 | +1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +1.74 | +1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.04 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.98 | +0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.80 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.64 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |