Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.167 to 11.78.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.78 (+0.167)
- In: 11.62
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 32
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 189
- In: 140
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.15 | 7.64 | +0.486 | 6 → 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.79 | 10.88 | +0.087 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.55 | 7.57 | +0.024 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.00 | 15.20 | +0.201 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 11.07 | 11.24 | +0.163 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.46 | 15.53 | +0.065 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 12.54 | 12.70 | +0.162 | 9 → 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.78 | 12.81 | +0.026 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.19 | 12.48 | +0.291 | 8 → 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 385, plus 140 carried in. Maintenance 242. Spent 94 on actions (build 19, buy 38, partner 38). 189 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance19 credits for 0.64 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by -1 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.90 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies19 credits for 1.95 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling19 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: +2.8 points this round.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 9 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 7.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +2.00 | +1.95 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.50 | +1.44 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +1.02 | +0.97 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.97 | +0.95 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.83 | +0.79 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | +0.78 | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 |