Round 7 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.029 to 11.75.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.75 (−0.029)
In: 11.78
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
191
In: 196
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.917.86−0.0496 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure10.8210.83+0.0065
National Security7.627.67+0.0556
Human Capital15.2315.22−0.0081
Information & Influence11.0911.23+0.1456
Governance & Integrity15.4415.35−0.0873 → 4
Financial Strength12.6912.61−0.0748
Production & Innovation12.8112.72−0.0905
Trade & Investment12.4512.29−0.1597

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 340, plus 196 carried in. Maintenance 251. Spent 93 on actions (build 19, buy 19, partner 56). 191 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity19 credits for 0.89 levelsmctsahead of Space Operations by -3 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation19 credits for 1.86 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies19 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure19 credits for 1.22 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy19 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −8.3 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.83+0.930.00−0.13+0.04
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.69+0.830.00−0.140.00
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.60+0.610.00−0.07+0.07
Space Technologies+0.48+0.630.00−0.16+0.01
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.47+0.650.00−0.17−0.01
Digital & Services Trade−0.310.000.00−0.310.00