Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.007 to 11.76.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 11.76 (+0.007)
- In: 11.75
- Rank by index
- 30
- In: 30
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 188
- In: 182
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 7.86 | 8.10 | +0.240 | 5 → 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.83 | 10.85 | +0.028 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.67 | 7.74 | +0.069 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.22 | 15.22 | −0.004 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.23 | 11.38 | +0.145 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.35 | 15.26 | −0.088 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 12.61 | 12.46 | −0.147 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.72 | 12.62 | −0.105 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.29 | 12.21 | −0.075 | 7 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 342, plus 182 carried in. Maintenance 250. Spent 85 on actions (buy 34, partner 51). 188 carried over.
- PartnerNuclear Deterrence17 credits for 0.56 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by -2 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing17 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication17 credits for 1.45 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies17 credits for 1.11 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies17 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −8.3 points this round.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.43 | +1.57 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +1.04 | +1.19 | 0.00 | −0.16 | +0.02 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.01 | +1.21 | 0.00 | −0.19 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.83 | +0.93 | 0.00 | −0.13 | +0.03 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.69 | +0.83 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure | +0.59 | +0.61 | 0.00 | −0.07 | +0.06 |