Round 9 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.116 to 11.88.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.88 (+0.115)
In: 11.76
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
227
In: 179
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.108.32+0.2256
Strategic Infrastructure10.8510.88+0.0285
National Security7.747.80+0.0546 → 5
Human Capital15.2215.29+0.0751
Information & Influence11.3811.74+0.3646 → 5
Governance & Integrity15.2615.26−0.0014
Financial Strength12.4612.52+0.0508
Production & Innovation12.6212.66+0.0445
Trade & Investment12.2112.41+0.1997

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 386, plus 179 carried in. Maintenance 253. Spent 85 on actions (buy 34, partner 51). 227 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance17 credits for 0.53 levelsmctsahead of Air Power by -2 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies17 credits for 1.63 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection17 credits for 1.39 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks17 credits for 1.27 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance17 credits for 1.48 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. National Security Tier 6 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+1.63+1.630.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.49+1.480.000.00+0.01
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.70+0.730.000.00−0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.70+0.700.000.000.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.66+0.630.000.00+0.03
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.65+0.650.000.000.00