Round 10 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.116 to 11.99.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.99 (+0.116)
In: 11.88
Rank by index
29
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
255
In: 215
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.328.83+0.5056 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure10.8810.90+0.0175
National Security7.807.85+0.0485
Human Capital15.2915.36+0.0641
Information & Influence11.7411.85+0.1145
Governance & Integrity15.2615.260.0004
Financial Strength12.5212.58+0.0618 → 7
Production & Innovation12.6612.67+0.0045
Trade & Investment12.4112.64+0.2327

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 394, plus 215 carried in. Maintenance 257. Spent 97 on actions (build 19, buy 58, partner 19). 255 carried over.

  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing19 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Artificial Intelligence by -1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Advanced Education by 1 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education19 credits for 1.16 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing19 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.89+1.660.000.00+0.23
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.78+1.780.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.26+1.260.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.90+0.880.000.00+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.71+0.700.000.00+0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.64+0.630.000.00+0.01