Round 2037
Round 11 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.099 to 12.09.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.09 (+0.099)
- In: 11.99
- Rank by index
- 28
- In: 29
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 278
- In: 242
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.83 | 9.20 | +0.373 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.90 | 10.91 | +0.012 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.85 | 7.89 | +0.040 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.36 | 15.41 | +0.055 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.85 | 11.87 | +0.012 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.26 | 15.26 | −0.001 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 12.58 | 12.61 | +0.036 | 7 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.67 | 12.90 | +0.232 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.64 | 12.78 | +0.133 | 7 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 399, plus 242 carried in. Maintenance 265. Spent 98 on actions (build 39, buy 59). 278 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.54 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by -1 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation20 credits for 1.78 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildAdvanced Education20 credits for 1.17 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies20 credits for 1.74 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion20 credits for 1.59 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 7 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.89 | +1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +1.74 | +1.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +1.61 | +1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.90 | +0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Advanced Education | +0.48 | +0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.19 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |