Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.088 to 12.18.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.18 (+0.089)
- In: 12.09
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 28
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 295
- In: 264
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.20 | 9.42 | +0.220 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.91 | 10.93 | +0.015 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.89 | 7.93 | +0.043 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.41 | 15.46 | +0.052 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 11.87 | 12.02 | +0.156 | 5 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.26 | 15.26 | −0.001 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 12.61 | 12.67 | +0.061 | 7 → 5 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.90 | 12.91 | +0.008 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.78 | 13.02 | +0.241 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 401, plus 264 carried in. Maintenance 271. Spent 100 on actions (build 20, buy 20, partner 60). 295 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.53 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by -7 per cent
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation20 credits for 1.76 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics20 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies20 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 7 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +1.69 | +1.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.92 | +0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.78 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.78 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.47 | +0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.35 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |