Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Automated discovery step, and the index +0.229 to 12.41.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.41 (+0.229)
- In: 12.18
- Rank by index
- 25
- In: 27
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 310
- In: 280
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 9.42 | 9.76 | +0.342 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.93 | 11.12 | +0.194 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.93 | 8.07 | +0.144 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.46 | 15.63 | +0.173 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.02 | 12.23 | +0.210 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.26 | 15.38 | +0.121 | 4 → 3 |
| Financial Strength | 12.67 | 12.84 | +0.166 | 5 → 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.91 | 13.04 | +0.137 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.02 | 13.59 | +0.575 | 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 405, plus 280 carried in. Maintenance 275. Spent 100 on actions (buy 40, partner 60). 310 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance20 credits for 0.54 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by -2 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies20 credits for 1.65 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence20 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure20 credits for 1.21 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position20 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Automated discovery step S17. +24.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 2.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.76 | +1.65 | 0.00 | +0.11 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.98 | +0.88 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.04 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.96 | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.03 |
| Global Value Chain Position | +0.94 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.05 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.90 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.89 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.11 | 0.00 |