Round 15 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.263 to 12.58.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.58 (+0.263)
In: 12.32
Rank by index
25
In: 26
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
348
In: 315
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.8010.27+0.4655
Strategic Infrastructure11.1111.25+0.1395 → 4
National Security7.727.90+0.1765
Human Capital15.7215.90+0.1821
Information & Influence12.0712.67+0.5984
Governance & Integrity15.2015.32+0.1195 → 4
Financial Strength12.4812.81+0.3302
Production & Innovation12.9913.12+0.1304
Trade & Investment13.7914.02+0.2295

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 423, plus 315 carried in. Maintenance 284. Spent 107 on actions (buy 85, partner 21). 348 carried over.

  • PartnerAir Power21 credits for 1.41 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by -1 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 1.23 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance21 credits for 1.69 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing21 credits for 1.71 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power21 credits for 1.67 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: +8.0 points this round.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 5 to 4; Governance & Integrity Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.92+1.710.00+0.210.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+1.75+1.690.00+0.050.00
Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power+1.75+1.670.00+0.05+0.02
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.45+1.230.00+0.210.00
Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy+0.88+0.820.00+0.050.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.84+0.740.00+0.11−0.01