Round 2042
Round 16 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.082 to 12.67.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.67 (+0.083)
- In: 12.58
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 343
- In: 330
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.27 | 10.44 | +0.177 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.25 | 11.27 | +0.013 | 4 |
| National Security | 7.90 | 7.97 | +0.071 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.90 | 16.07 | +0.164 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.67 | 12.68 | +0.009 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.32 | 15.32 | −0.001 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 12.81 | 12.83 | +0.028 | 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.12 | 13.27 | +0.148 | 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.02 | 14.15 | +0.132 | 5 → 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 415, plus 330 carried in. Maintenance 297. Spent 106 on actions (build 21, buy 64, partner 21). 343 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.44 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by -2 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity21 credits for 1.03 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access21 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation21 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation21 credits for 1.66 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.75 | +1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.12 | +1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.03 | +1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.84 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Air Power | +0.50 | +0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.30 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |