Round 17 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.108 to 12.77.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.77 (+0.108)
In: 12.67
Rank by index
24
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 1
Credits carried
345
In: 325
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.4410.87+0.4235
Strategic Infrastructure11.2711.28+0.0164
National Security7.978.05+0.0795
Human Capital16.0716.11+0.0461
Information & Influence12.6812.82+0.1444
Governance & Integrity15.3215.31−0.0024
Financial Strength12.8312.93+0.0952 → 1
Production & Innovation13.2713.29+0.0224
Trade & Investment14.1514.30+0.1484 → 2

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 425, plus 325 carried in. Maintenance 302. Spent 104 on actions (buy 42, partner 62). 345 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.44 levelsmctsahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by -5 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies21 credits for 1.10 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems21 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies21 credits for 1.57 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication21 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 2 to 1; Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.67+1.640.000.00+0.02
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.57+1.570.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.84+0.820.000.00+0.02
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.79+0.790.000.000.00
Space Technologies+0.56+0.550.000.00+0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.55+0.370.000.00+0.18