Round 18 · simulation 21 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier-rank

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.233 to 12.54.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.54 (−0.233)
In: 12.77
Rank by index
25
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
339
In: 328
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.8711.09+0.2205
Strategic Infrastructure11.2811.06−0.2184 → 5
National Security8.058.08+0.0335
Human Capital16.1116.02−0.0991
Information & Influence12.8212.87+0.0474 → 3
Governance & Integrity15.3115.08−0.2364 → 5
Financial Strength12.9312.23−0.6981
Production & Innovation13.2912.73−0.5544 → 5
Trade & Investment14.3013.72−0.5862 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 432, plus 328 carried in. Maintenance 314. Spent 106 on actions (buy 64, partner 43). 339 carried over.

  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance21 credits for 0.36 levelsmctsahead of Quantum Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies21 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation21 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 1.09 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies21 credits for 1.53 levelsmcts_fill
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −22.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 4 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 4 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.29+1.530.00−0.240.00
Energy Technologies+1.29+1.580.00−0.300.00
Investment Attraction & Projection−1.080.000.00−1.09+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity−0.960.000.00−0.960.00
Financial System Depth & Access−0.900.000.00−0.900.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.880.000.00−0.880.00