Round 2045
Round 19 of 20 in simulation 21 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Automated discovery step, and the index +0.172 to 12.71.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.71 (+0.173)
- In: 12.54
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 25
- Domains at Tier 1
- 2
- In: 2
- Credits carried
- 320
- In: 322
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 11.09 | 11.25 | +0.161 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.06 | 11.18 | +0.116 | 5 → 4 |
| National Security | 8.08 | 8.20 | +0.120 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.02 | 16.14 | +0.125 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.87 | 13.06 | +0.193 | 3 → 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.08 | 15.19 | +0.108 | 5 |
| Financial Strength | 12.23 | 12.29 | +0.058 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 12.73 | 12.98 | +0.249 | 5 → 4 |
| Trade & Investment | 13.72 | 14.14 | +0.420 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 413, plus 322 carried in. Maintenance 307. Spent 108 on actions (build 22, buy 22, partner 65). 320 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance22 credits for 0.37 levelsmctsahead of Quantum Technologies by -3 per cent
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection22 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity22 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication22 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics22 credits for 1.55 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Automated discovery step S17. +21.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 5 to 4; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Production & Innovation Tier 5 to 4.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.15 | +1.05 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.88 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.01 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.87 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.87 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.04 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.83 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.10 | −0.04 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.07 |