Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 12 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.125 to 12.21.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.21 (+0.125)
- In: 12.09
- Rank by index
- 27
- In: 28
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 283
- In: 243
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 8.63 | 9.26 | +0.636 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.74 | 10.78 | +0.037 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.21 | 7.25 | +0.036 | 6 |
| Human Capital | 15.59 | 15.62 | +0.034 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.35 | 12.36 | +0.011 | 5 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.24 | 15.24 | +0.001 | 4 |
| Financial Strength | 13.15 | 13.24 | +0.090 | 6 → 2 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.09 | 13.11 | +0.014 | 5 |
| Trade & Investment | 12.79 | 13.06 | +0.271 | 6 → 5 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 406, plus 243 carried in. Maintenance 265. Spent 102 on actions (buy 61, partner 41). 283 carried over.
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access20 credits for 1.79 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 1 per cent
- BuyArtificial Intelligence20 credits for 1.72 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies20 credits for 1.26 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies20 credits for 1.81 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation20 credits for 1.83 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 6 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 5.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +2.03 | +1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.30 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.86 | +1.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Biotechnology & Health Technologies | +1.81 | +1.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.98 | +0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.80 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Space Technologies | +0.65 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |