Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.081 to 12.76.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.76 (+0.081)
- In: 12.68
- Rank by index
- 24
- In: 24
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 256
- In: 243
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.17 | 10.23 | +0.056 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 10.94 | 10.95 | +0.018 | 5 |
| National Security | 7.59 | 7.69 | +0.094 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.04 | 16.24 | +0.202 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 12.83 | 12.85 | +0.013 | 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.34 | 15.34 | +0.001 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.37 | 13.40 | +0.028 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.80 | 13.89 | +0.088 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.02 | 14.24 | +0.226 | 4 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 410, plus 243 carried in. Maintenance 297. Spent 100 on actions (build 20, buy 20, partner 60). 256 carried over.
- PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity20 credits for 0.83 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 1.05 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication20 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics20 credits for 1.46 levelsmcts_fill
- BuildDigital & AI Competence20 credits for 1.33 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.05 | +1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | +0.73 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.73 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | +0.47 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.47 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 |
| Advanced Education | +0.46 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 |