Round 15 · simulation 23 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.129 to 12.89.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.89 (+0.129)
In: 12.76
Rank by index
22
In: 24
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
256
In: 243
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.2310.68+0.4485
Strategic Infrastructure10.9510.97+0.0215
National Security7.697.77+0.0825
Human Capital16.2416.33+0.0871
Information & Influence12.8512.87+0.0234
Governance & Integrity15.3415.34+0.0013
Financial Strength13.4013.42+0.0258
Production & Innovation13.8914.03+0.1403
Trade & Investment14.2414.58+0.3344

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 415, plus 243 carried in. Maintenance 301. Spent 102 on actions (buy 61, partner 41). 256 carried over.

  • PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity21 credits for 0.82 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 2 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing21 credits for 1.14 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies21 credits for 1.61 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position21 credits for 1.50 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems21 credits for 1.64 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+1.67+1.640.000.00+0.02
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.61+1.610.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+1.14+1.140.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.84+0.820.000.00+0.02
Global Value Chain Position+0.79+0.750.000.00+0.04
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.75+0.730.000.00+0.02