Round 16 · simulation 23 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.088 to 12.97.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.97 (+0.088)
In: 12.89
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
254
In: 243
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.6810.92+0.2395
Strategic Infrastructure10.9711.05+0.0735 → 4
National Security7.777.79+0.0195
Human Capital16.3316.39+0.0621
Information & Influence12.8713.02+0.1544 → 3
Governance & Integrity15.3415.34−0.0013
Financial Strength13.4213.46+0.0358
Production & Innovation14.0314.11+0.0843 → 2
Trade & Investment14.5814.70+0.1274

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 424, plus 243 carried in. Maintenance 309. Spent 104 on actions (build 21, buy 42, partner 42). 254 carried over.

  • BuildQuantum Technologies21 credits for 1.10 levelsmctsahead of Quantum Technologies by 2 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies21 credits for 1.09 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation21 credits for 1.58 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence21 credits for 1.44 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure21 credits for 1.15 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 5 to 4; Information & Influence Tier 4 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.44+1.440.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.84+0.790.000.00+0.05
Global Value Chain Position+0.80+0.750.000.00+0.05
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.59+0.570.000.00+0.02
Space Technologies+0.55+0.550.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.42+0.410.000.00+0.01