Round 17 · simulation 23 · mcts-m2.m2-est-mcts-tier1

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.120 to 13.10.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.10 (+0.120)
In: 12.97
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
248
In: 241
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology10.9211.40+0.4895 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure11.0511.12+0.0744
National Security7.797.80+0.0125
Human Capital16.3916.43+0.0391
Information & Influence13.0213.42+0.3943 → 2
Governance & Integrity15.3415.34+0.0033
Financial Strength13.4613.48+0.0228
Production & Innovation14.1114.13+0.0162
Trade & Investment14.7014.74+0.0364

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 429, plus 241 carried in. Maintenance 316. Spent 106 on actions (buy 42, partner 64). 248 carried over.

  • BuyEnergy Technologies21 credits for 1.55 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 3 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation21 credits for 1.62 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInformation Environment & Strategic Communication21 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks21 credits for 1.31 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies21 credits for 1.07 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.62+1.620.000.00+0.01
Energy Technologies+1.55+1.550.000.000.00
Space Technologies+1.08+1.080.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.84+0.790.000.00+0.05
Information Environment & Strategic Communication+0.79+0.780.000.00+0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.68+0.650.000.00+0.03