Round 2044
Round 18 of 20 in simulation 23 of Estonia, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Automated discovery step, and the index +0.235 to 13.33.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 13.33 (+0.235)
- In: 13.10
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 231
- In: 236
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 11.40 | 11.93 | +0.529 | 4 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.12 | 11.24 | +0.119 | 4 |
| National Security | 7.80 | 7.91 | +0.112 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 16.43 | 16.57 | +0.138 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.42 | 13.85 | +0.438 | 2 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.34 | 15.45 | +0.110 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 13.48 | 13.79 | +0.311 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 14.13 | 14.37 | +0.242 | 2 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.74 | 14.85 | +0.111 | 4 → 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 430, plus 236 carried in. Maintenance 328. Spent 107 on actions (buy 86, partner 22). 231 carried over.
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity22 credits for 0.85 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing22 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing22 credits for 1.08 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySovereign Capital & External Financial Power22 credits for 1.54 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerCulture, Language & Education Diplomacy22 credits for 1.56 levelsmcts_fill
- Upside event: Automated discovery step S17. +21.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +1.74 | +1.54 | 0.00 | +0.19 | 0.00 |
| Sovereign Capital & External Financial Power | +1.60 | +1.54 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.28 | +1.08 | 0.00 | +0.19 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.95 | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | +0.84 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.01 |
| Culture, Language & Education Diplomacy | +0.84 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.02 |