Round 5 · simulation 44 · mcts-m2.m2-gbr-greedy-marginal

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 44 of United Kingdom, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.215 to 17.15.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.15 (+0.215)
In: 16.93
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
5
In: 5
Credits carried
441
In: 327
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.2416.31+0.0733
Strategic Infrastructure16.0716.11+0.0412
National Security16.2816.280.0002
Human Capital18.5118.64+0.1261
Information & Influence17.1817.22+0.0402
Governance & Integrity16.5616.65+0.0851
Financial Strength17.5317.74+0.2091
Production & Innovation16.4916.74+0.2561
Trade & Investment17.5518.66+1.1061

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,039, plus 327 carried in. Maintenance 687. Spent 238 on actions (build 95, partner 143). 441 carried over.

  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity48 credits for 1.86 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 9 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection48 credits for 2.20 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 4 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication48 credits for 2.16 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Facilitation & Logistics48 credits for 2.20 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Early Childhood Development by 0 per cent
  • BuildEarly Childhood Development48 credits for 2.30 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Government Effectiveness & Public Administration by 2 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +3.6 points this round.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Export Capability & Sophistication+2.50+2.470.00+0.030.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+1.52+1.420.00+0.03+0.07
Economic Output & Productivity+1.49+1.310.00+0.03+0.15
Global Value Chain Position+1.41+1.340.00+0.03+0.03
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.14+1.100.00+0.03+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+1.13+1.100.00+0.030.00