Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 13 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.065 to 7.39.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.39 (+0.066)
- In: 7.32
- Rank by index
- 76
- In: 77
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 2
- In: 4
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.15 | 3.15 | 0.000 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.89 | 7.89 | +0.005 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.60 | 4.61 | +0.004 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.12 | 8.33 | +0.212 | 12 |
| Information & Influence | 8.57 | 8.66 | +0.086 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.89 | 0.000 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.64 | 8.64 | +0.004 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.73 | 7.88 | +0.149 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.30 | 8.43 | +0.130 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 147, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 112. Spent 37 on actions (build 7, buy 7, partner 22). 2 carried over.
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.87 levelsmctsahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 0 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.81 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation7 credits for 1.00 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.87 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.86 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.58 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.50 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.48 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Digital & AI Competence | +0.45 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |