Round 6 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 13 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.085 to 7.47.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.47 (+0.084)
In: 7.39
Rank by index
75
In: 76
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
4
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.153.38+0.22810
Strategic Infrastructure7.897.90+0.0057
National Security4.614.62+0.0079
Human Capital8.338.59+0.26512 → 10
Information & Influence8.668.75+0.0897
Governance & Integrity8.898.89+0.00114
Financial Strength8.648.65+0.00717
Production & Innovation7.887.90+0.02814
Trade & Investment8.438.56+0.13112

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 148, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 113. Spent 32 on actions (build 7, buy 25). 4 carried over.

  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation7 credits for 0.57 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing3 credits for 0.32 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 12 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.96+0.960.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.84+0.840.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.57+0.570.000.000.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+0.51+0.510.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.50+0.500.000.000.00