Round 10 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2036

Round 10 of 20 in simulation 13 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.044 to 6.04.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.04 (+0.044)
In: 6.00
Rank by index
96
In: 96
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
4
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.242.42+0.17811
Strategic Infrastructure6.336.29−0.0349
National Security3.013.00−0.01511
Human Capital8.038.05+0.0268
Information & Influence6.726.91+0.19611 → 10
Governance & Integrity7.547.53−0.01116
Financial Strength6.236.27+0.04024
Production & Innovation6.766.75−0.00616
Trade & Investment7.157.17+0.01913

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 117, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 82. Spent 33 on actions (buy 20, partner 13). 4 carried over.

  • PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation7 credits for 0.52 levelsmctsahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 2 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.44 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.89 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 11 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2036, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+0.91+0.880.000.00+0.03
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.89+0.890.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.78+0.820.000.00−0.04
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.41+0.440.000.00−0.03
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.38+0.410.000.00−0.03
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.35+0.380.000.00−0.03