Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 13 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.023 to 6.07.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.07 (+0.022)
- In: 6.05
- Rank by index
- 96
- In: 96
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 21
- In: 11
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.47 | 2.63 | +0.161 | 11 → 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.23 | 6.17 | −0.064 | 9 |
| National Security | 2.97 | 2.92 | −0.050 | 11 |
| Human Capital | 8.05 | 8.04 | −0.007 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 6.96 | 7.00 | +0.046 | 10 → 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.52 | 7.50 | −0.015 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 6.33 | 6.39 | +0.061 | 24 → 23 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.74 | 6.74 | +0.002 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.17 | 7.24 | +0.070 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 123, plus 11 carried in. Maintenance 83. Spent 30 on actions (buy 12, partner 18). 21 carried over.
- PartnerSensing, Timing & Navigation6 credits for 0.59 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.64 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.37 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.75 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 9; Information & Influence Tier 10 to 9; Financial Strength Tier 24 to 23.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.72 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.03 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.63 | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.37 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.33 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.32 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.08 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.32 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.07 |