Round 2039
Round 13 of 20 in simulation 13 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.301 to 5.77.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.77 (−0.300)
- In: 6.07
- Rank by index
- 104
- In: 96
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 31
- In: 19
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.63 | 2.55 | −0.075 | 9 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 6.17 | 5.92 | −0.250 | 9 |
| National Security | 2.92 | 2.89 | −0.027 | 11 |
| Human Capital | 8.04 | 7.86 | −0.186 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 7.00 | 6.87 | −0.128 | 9 → 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.50 | 7.22 | −0.280 | 16 → 17 |
| Financial Strength | 6.39 | 5.59 | −0.804 | 23 → 25 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.74 | 6.29 | −0.448 | 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 7.24 | 6.74 | −0.507 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 126, plus 19 carried in. Maintenance 84. Spent 31 on actions (buy 18, partner 12). 31 carried over.
- PartnerSemiconductors & Advanced Computing6 credits for 0.41 levelsmctsahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.78 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance6 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion6 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence6 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −23.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 9 to 8; Governance & Integrity Tier 16 to 17; Financial Strength Tier 23 to 25.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investment Attraction & Projection | −1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.07 | −0.01 |
| Financial Stability & Crisis Management | −0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.92 | 0.00 |
| Financial Regulation & Integrity | −0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.90 | −0.02 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.90 | −0.01 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.89 | +0.02 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.88 | +0.02 |