Round 2046
Round 20 of 20 in simulation 13 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.095 to 5.62.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.62 (−0.095)
- In: 5.71
- Rank by index
- 108
- In: 105
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 34
- In: 41
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.46 | 3.48 | +0.020 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 5.73 | 5.67 | −0.063 | 9 |
| National Security | 2.87 | 2.88 | +0.011 | 11 |
| Human Capital | 7.50 | 7.36 | −0.133 | 11 |
| Information & Influence | 6.72 | 6.64 | −0.083 | 9 → 8 |
| Governance & Integrity | 6.91 | 6.80 | −0.115 | 17 |
| Financial Strength | 5.32 | 5.16 | −0.159 | 27 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.08 | 5.90 | −0.179 | 15 → 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.82 | 6.66 | −0.153 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 101, plus 41 carried in. Maintenance 82. Spent 26 on actions (build 5, buy 21). 34 carried over.
- BuildEnergy Technologies5 credits for 0.32 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing5 credits for 0.47 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation5 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing5 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance5 credits for 0.61 levelsmcts_fill
Earlier events still landing: −9.6 points this round.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 9 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 16.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.41 | +0.63 | 0.00 | −0.21 | −0.01 |
| Development Cooperation & Global Assistance | +0.41 | +0.61 | 0.00 | −0.19 | −0.01 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.39 | +0.60 | 0.00 | −0.21 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.34 | −0.01 |
| Labour & Employment | −0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.30 | −0.01 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.30 | +0.01 |