Round 19 · simulation 13 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2045

Round 19 of 20 in simulation 13 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index −0.097 to 5.71.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.71 (−0.097)
In: 5.81
Rank by index
105
In: 102
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
43
In: 53
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.433.46+0.0387
Strategic Infrastructure5.795.73−0.0609
National Security2.862.87+0.00911
Human Capital7.637.50−0.13611
Information & Influence6.846.72−0.1239
Governance & Integrity7.036.91−0.12217
Financial Strength5.485.32−0.16026 → 27
Production & Innovation6.246.08−0.16815
Trade & Investment6.976.82−0.15112

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 103, plus 53 carried in. Maintenance 83. Spent 30 on actions (buy 18, partner 12). 43 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies6 credits for 0.72 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence6 credits for 0.69 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance6 credits for 0.38 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 1 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access6 credits for 0.76 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 0 per cent
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems6 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Energy Technologies by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: −9.6 points this round.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 26 to 27.

The groups that moved most in 2045, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+0.59+0.740.00−0.16+0.01
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.52+0.720.00−0.200.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.46+0.690.00−0.37+0.15
Digital & Services Trade−0.350.000.00−0.34−0.01
Labour & Employment−0.300.000.00−0.30−0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.300.000.00−0.30+0.01