Round 16 · simulation 47 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 47 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.039 to 7.42.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.42 (+0.039)
In: 7.38
Rank by index
76
In: 76
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.374.65+0.2867
Strategic Infrastructure7.637.62−0.0138
National Security4.044.03−0.0099
Human Capital8.638.62−0.0048
Information & Influence8.758.75+0.0017
Governance & Integrity8.388.38−0.00616
Financial Strength7.957.98+0.03219
Production & Innovation7.897.92+0.03214
Trade & Investment8.808.83+0.03111

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 145, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 116. Spent 30 on actions (buy 21, partner 9). 1 carried over.

  • PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.47 levelsmctsahead of Robotics & Autonomous Systems by 1 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyEnergy Technologies7 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyRobotics & Autonomous Systems7 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access1 credits for 0.17 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.11+1.110.000.000.00
Robotics & Autonomous Systems+0.83+0.820.000.000.00
Energy Technologies+0.82+0.820.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.23+0.240.000.00−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.20+0.200.000.00−0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.14+0.150.000.00−0.01