Round 15 · simulation 47 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 47 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.033 to 7.38.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.38 (+0.033)
In: 7.35
Rank by index
76
In: 76
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.224.37+0.1437
Strategic Infrastructure7.647.63−0.0098
National Security4.034.04+0.0029
Human Capital8.638.63−0.0028
Information & Influence8.678.75+0.0777
Governance & Integrity8.388.38−0.00216
Financial Strength7.887.95+0.06919
Production & Innovation7.907.89−0.00814
Trade & Investment8.778.80+0.03011

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 142, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 115. Spent 26 on actions (buy 10, partner 17). 1 carried over.

  • PartnerAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing7 credits for 0.64 levelsmctsahead of Quantum Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.40 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation7 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies3 credits for 0.32 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection3 credits for 0.29 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.81+0.830.000.00−0.02
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.44+0.460.000.00−0.02
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.43+0.420.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.32+0.320.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.32+0.320.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.30+0.310.000.000.00