Round 18 · simulation 47 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2044

Round 18 of 20 in simulation 47 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.023 to 7.47.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2044 (the end of 2043) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.47 (+0.023)
In: 7.45
Rank by index
75
In: 75
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.905.04+0.1357
Strategic Infrastructure7.617.60−0.0088
National Security4.014.00−0.0109
Human Capital8.628.63+0.0158
Information & Influence8.758.75−0.0017
Governance & Integrity8.378.36−0.00816
Financial Strength7.987.98+0.00219
Production & Innovation7.967.98+0.02214
Trade & Investment8.848.89+0.05711

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2044: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 149, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 119. Spent 31 on actions (buy 9, partner 22). 0 carried over.

  • PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation7 credits for 0.56 levelsmctsahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies7 credits for 0.66 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion2 credits for 0.16 levelsmcts_fill
The groups that moved most in 2044, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.82+0.820.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.42+0.430.000.00−0.01
Space Technologies+0.39+0.390.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.18+0.190.000.00−0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.16+0.160.000.00−0.01
Quantum Technologies+0.13+0.130.000.000.00