Round 2045
Round 19 of 20 in simulation 47 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.015 to 7.46.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2045 (the end of 2044) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.46 (−0.015)
- In: 7.47
- Rank by index
- 75
- In: 75
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 0
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 5.04 | 5.18 | +0.145 | 7 → 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.60 | 7.59 | −0.009 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.00 | 4.01 | +0.011 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.63 | 8.63 | −0.001 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 8.75 | 8.68 | −0.066 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.36 | 8.32 | −0.040 | 16 |
| Financial Strength | 7.98 | 7.91 | −0.070 | 19 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.98 | 7.91 | −0.064 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.89 | 8.86 | −0.039 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2045: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 149. Maintenance 120. Spent 30 on actions (buy 22, partner 8). 0 carried over.
- BuySpace Operations8 credits for 0.66 levelsmcts
- PartnerSpace Technologies8 credits for 0.66 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.63 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyEnergy Technologies8 credits for 0.83 levelsmcts_fill
- Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −11.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +0.76 | +0.83 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.59 | +0.66 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.47 | +0.63 | 0.00 | −0.17 | 0.00 |
| Space Operations | +0.30 | +0.33 | 0.00 | −0.03 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.28 | +0.43 | 0.00 | −0.13 | −0.01 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.16 | +0.19 | 0.00 | −0.02 | −0.01 |