Round 20 · simulation 47 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2046

Round 20 of 20 in simulation 47 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 2 actions, and the index −0.041 to 7.42.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2046 (the end of 2045) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.42 (−0.041)
In: 7.46
Rank by index
76
In: 75
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.185.16−0.0216 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure7.597.58−0.0138
National Security4.014.03+0.0149
Human Capital8.638.63−0.0018
Information & Influence8.688.61−0.0677
Governance & Integrity8.328.28−0.04016
Financial Strength7.917.84−0.07319
Production & Innovation7.917.85−0.06614
Trade & Investment8.868.75−0.10611

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2046: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 131. Maintenance 120. Spent 9 on actions (build 8, buy 2). 1 carried over.

  • BuildRobotics & Autonomous Systems8 credits for 0.47 levelsmctsahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 0 per cent
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation2 credits for 0.17 levelsmcts_fill

Earlier events still landing: −3.9 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2046, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Space Operations+0.30+0.330.00−0.030.00
Space Technologies+0.26+0.330.00−0.070.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing−0.170.000.00−0.170.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.16+0.190.00−0.02−0.01
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing−0.150.000.00−0.150.00
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.140.000.00−0.140.00