Round 9 · simulation 50 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 50 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.085 to 7.70.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.70 (+0.085)
In: 7.62
Rank by index
72
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
4
In: 4
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.723.92+0.1939 → 8
Strategic Infrastructure7.907.91+0.0117
National Security4.624.63+0.0089
Human Capital8.728.83+0.1059 → 8
Information & Influence8.979.21+0.2397
Governance & Integrity8.908.90+0.00114
Financial Strength8.768.76+0.00717
Production & Innovation8.128.13+0.01414
Trade & Investment8.839.03+0.19111

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 158, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 120. Spent 39 on actions (buy 31, partner 8). 4 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation8 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance8 credits for 0.86 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence8 credits for 0.94 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection8 credits for 0.82 levelsmcts_greedyahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 9 to 8; Human Capital Tier 9 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.10+0.940.000.00+0.16
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.87+0.860.000.00+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.82+0.820.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.79+0.790.000.000.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.61+0.600.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.50+0.500.000.000.00