Round 2036
Round 10 of 20 in simulation 50 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.065 to 7.77.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2036 (the end of 2035) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.77 (+0.065)
- In: 7.70
- Rank by index
- 70
- In: 72
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 2
- In: 4
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.92 | 4.20 | +0.286 | 8 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.91 | 7.92 | +0.013 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.63 | 4.64 | +0.011 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.83 | 8.85 | +0.021 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 9.21 | 9.21 | +0.008 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.90 | 8.90 | 0.000 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.76 | 8.80 | +0.040 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 8.13 | 8.27 | +0.136 | 14 → 12 |
| Trade & Investment | 9.03 | 9.10 | +0.071 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2036: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 160, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 122. Spent 40 on actions (buy 32, partner 8). 2 carried over.
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance8 credits for 0.41 levelsmctsahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing8 credits for 0.94 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.87 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation8 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.96 | +0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.94 | +0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.90 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.77 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +0.41 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.21 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |