Round 11 · simulation 50 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 50 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.046 to 7.81.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.81 (+0.046)
In: 7.77
Rank by index
70
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
4
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.204.42+0.2218 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure7.927.94+0.0137
National Security4.644.65+0.0119
Human Capital8.858.85+0.0058
Information & Influence9.219.23+0.0127
Governance & Integrity8.908.90+0.00114
Financial Strength8.808.84+0.03917
Production & Innovation8.278.28+0.01612
Trade & Investment9.109.19+0.09811

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 162, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 124. Spent 35 on actions (buy 16, partner 19). 4 carried over.

  • PartnerConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies8 credits for 0.70 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing8 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication8 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence3 credits for 0.37 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.92+0.920.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.74+0.740.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.42+0.420.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.35+0.350.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.24+0.180.000.00+0.06
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance+0.20+0.200.000.000.00