Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 50 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.062 to 7.87.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.87 (+0.062)
- In: 7.81
- Rank by index
- 70
- In: 70
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1
- In: 4
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.42 | 4.66 | +0.239 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.94 | 7.96 | +0.017 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.65 | 4.66 | +0.011 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.85 | 8.92 | +0.071 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 9.23 | 9.26 | +0.031 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.90 | 8.90 | +0.002 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.84 | 8.85 | +0.007 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 8.28 | 8.30 | +0.016 | 12 |
| Trade & Investment | 9.19 | 9.36 | +0.164 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 163, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 126. Spent 41 on actions (build 8, buy 24, partner 8). 1 carried over.
- BuildAlliances & Security Cooperation8 credits for 0.38 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation8 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies8 credits for 0.91 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation8 credits for 0.60 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence8 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.26 | +1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.96 | +0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +0.69 | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +0.61 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Export Capability & Sophistication | +0.42 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 |