Round 13 · simulation 50 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-index

Round 2039

Round 13 of 20 in simulation 50 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.046 to 7.92.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2039 (the end of 2038) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.92 (+0.046)
In: 7.87
Rank by index
70
In: 70
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.664.76+0.0937
Strategic Infrastructure7.967.97+0.0197
National Security4.664.68+0.0219
Human Capital8.928.93+0.0058
Information & Influence9.269.37+0.1087 → 6
Governance & Integrity8.908.90+0.00114
Financial Strength8.858.85+0.00617
Production & Innovation8.308.31+0.01512
Trade & Investment9.369.50+0.14511

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2039: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 164, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 128. Spent 36 on actions (buy 3, partner 33). 0 carried over.

  • PartnerNuclear Deterrence8 credits for 0.27 levelsmcts
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation8 credits for 0.97 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerSpace Technologies8 credits for 0.73 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access8 credits for 0.94 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing3 credits for 0.36 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2039, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.62+0.610.000.000.00
Economic Leverage & Dependence+0.51+0.450.000.00+0.05
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.49+0.470.000.00+0.02
Space Technologies+0.37+0.360.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+0.36+0.360.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.160.000.000.00+0.16