Round 2041
Round 15 of 20 in simulation 50 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.040 to 8.02.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 8.02 (+0.040)
- In: 7.98
- Rank by index
- 69
- In: 69
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 5.10 | 5.36 | +0.260 | 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.99 | 8.00 | +0.012 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.70 | 4.73 | +0.023 | 9 → 6 |
| Human Capital | 8.93 | 8.94 | +0.005 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 9.47 | 9.48 | +0.005 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.90 | 8.90 | +0.001 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.86 | 8.86 | +0.001 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 8.33 | 8.37 | +0.045 | 12 → 11 |
| Trade & Investment | 9.58 | 9.59 | +0.007 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2041: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 164, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 132. Spent 33 on actions (buy 16, partner 16). 0 carried over.
- PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity8 credits for 0.52 levelsmctsahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 0 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation8 credits for 0.93 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing8 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerSpace Technologies8 credits for 0.71 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. National Security Tier 9 to 6; Production & Innovation Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.95 | +0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.88 | +0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Space Technologies | +0.72 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.26 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Nuclear Deterrence | +0.09 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Manufacturing | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 |