Round 2032
Round 6 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.067 to 7.45.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.45 (+0.067)
- In: 7.38
- Rank by index
- 75
- In: 76
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 0
- In: 4
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.23 | 3.42 | +0.196 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.89 | 7.89 | +0.004 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.61 | 4.62 | +0.011 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.32 | 8.48 | +0.164 | 12 → 11 |
| Information & Influence | 8.66 | 8.76 | +0.092 | 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.89 | 8.89 | +0.001 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.65 | 8.69 | +0.036 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.83 | 7.83 | +0.004 | 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.32 | 8.42 | +0.094 | 12 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2032: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 147, plus 4 carried in. Maintenance 113. Spent 37 on actions (build 15, buy 15, partner 7). 0 carried over.
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.30 levelsmctsahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 1 per cent
- BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.77 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.98 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_fill
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.96 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 12 to 11.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.98 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +0.96 | +0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technical & Vocational Skills | +0.83 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | +0.50 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.48 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Lifelong Learning & Reskilling | +0.34 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |