Round 7 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-score-sum

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.072 to 7.52.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.52 (+0.072)
In: 7.45
Rank by index
73
In: 75
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.423.51+0.09010
Strategic Infrastructure7.897.90+0.0067
National Security4.624.63+0.0089
Human Capital8.488.61+0.12611 → 10
Information & Influence8.768.90+0.1487
Governance & Integrity8.898.90+0.00114
Financial Strength8.698.71+0.02017
Production & Innovation7.837.92+0.08614
Trade & Investment8.428.58+0.16512

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 148. Maintenance 115. Spent 32 on actions (buy 22, partner 10). 1 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.56 levelsmctsahead of Nuclear Deterrence by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.79 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access3 credits for 0.38 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 11 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.84+0.840.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.79+0.790.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.67+0.670.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.66+0.660.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.59+0.560.000.00+0.02
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.42+0.420.000.000.00