Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.057 to 7.84.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 7.84 (+0.057)
- In: 7.78
- Rank by index
- 70
- In: 70
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 3
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 4.18 | 4.48 | +0.305 | 8 → 7 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.94 | 7.96 | +0.018 | 7 |
| National Security | 4.67 | 4.68 | +0.010 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.83 | 8.83 | +0.004 | 8 |
| Information & Influence | 9.40 | 9.41 | +0.006 | 6 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.90 | 8.90 | +0.001 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 8.82 | 8.84 | +0.018 | 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 8.17 | 8.24 | +0.064 | 14 → 12 |
| Trade & Investment | 9.11 | 9.20 | +0.085 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 160, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 125. Spent 35 on actions (buy 27, partner 8). 3 carried over.
- PartnerArtificial Intelligence8 credits for 0.60 levelsmctsahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.74 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing8 credits for 0.90 levelsmcts_fill
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation8 credits for 0.93 levelsmcts_fill
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion3 credits for 0.34 levelsmcts_fill
Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 8 to 7; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 12.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +0.93 | +0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Materials & Manufacturing | +0.90 | +0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +0.74 | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | +0.47 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Artificial Intelligence | +0.47 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.38 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 |