Round 11 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-score-sum

Round 2037

Round 11 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.067 to 7.78.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2037 (the end of 2036) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.78 (+0.067)
In: 7.71
Rank by index
70
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2
In: 2
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.044.18+0.1438
Strategic Infrastructure7.937.94+0.0157
National Security4.664.67+0.0129
Human Capital8.828.83+0.0038
Information & Influence9.189.40+0.2287 → 6
Governance & Integrity8.908.90+0.00114
Financial Strength8.828.82+0.00317
Production & Innovation8.088.17+0.09614
Trade & Investment9.019.11+0.10311

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2037: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 157, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 123. Spent 34 on actions (buy 27, partner 8). 2 carried over.

  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity8 credits for 0.57 levelsmctsahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 0 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance8 credits for 0.85 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation8 credits for 0.95 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access8 credits for 0.92 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies3 credits for 0.37 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 7 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2037, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.95+0.950.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.85+0.850.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.66+0.650.000.00+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity+0.60+0.570.000.00+0.03
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.48+0.480.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.37+0.370.000.000.00