Round 17 · simulation 29 · mcts-m2.m2-ken-mcts-score-sum

Round 2043

Round 17 of 20 in simulation 29 of Kenya, tree search, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.064 to 8.07.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2043 (the end of 2042) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.07 (+0.064)
In: 8.01
Rank by index
68
In: 69
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.475.67+0.2057 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure8.028.04+0.0187
National Security4.734.75+0.0219
Human Capital8.858.85+0.0038
Information & Influence9.449.48+0.0396
Governance & Integrity8.918.91+0.00214
Financial Strength8.938.97+0.04017
Production & Innovation8.278.40+0.12512 → 10
Trade & Investment9.499.61+0.12211 → 10

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2043: the credits, the tree search (mcts) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 166, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 134. Spent 31 on actions (buy 28, partner 3). 1 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing8 credits for 0.68 levelsmctsahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies8 credits for 0.88 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.84 levelsmcts_fill
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation3 credits for 0.38 levelsmcts_fill
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies3 credits for 0.35 levelsmcts_fill

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 7 to 6; Production & Innovation Tier 12 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 11 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2043, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+0.89+0.880.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.84+0.840.000.00+0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.69+0.680.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.42+0.420.000.000.00
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.41+0.410.000.000.00
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+0.35+0.350.000.000.00